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We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model. We show that prices are farther away from (closer to) fundamentals compared with average expectations if and only if traders over- (under-) rely on public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897551
The real option theory provides a useful tool to evaluate an R&D investment under uncertainty because, unlike the NPV …. -- American Exchange options ; game theory ; Montecarlo simulation ; R&D ; information revelation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872189
We study a general static noisy rational expectations model, where investors have private information about asset payoffs, with common and private components, and about their own exposure to an aggregate risk factor, and derive conditions for existence and uniqueness (or multiplicity) of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994517
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003624471
the countries’ authorities, openness, and transparency, consistently with the theory. -- IMF conditionality ; delegation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813630
Politicians may pander to public opinion and may renounce undertaking beneficial long-term projects. To alleviate this problem, we introduce a triple mechanism involving political information markets, reelection threshold contracts, and democratic elections. An information market is used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009663
We propose a theory that jointly accounts for an asset illiquidity and for the asset price potential over-reliance on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011130
Private provision of public goods often takes place as a war of attrition: individuals wait until someone else volunteers and provides the good. After a certain time period, however, one individual may be randomly selected. If the individuals are uncertain about their cost of provision, but can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011776
provides a theory of job-to-job transitions that are associated with voluntary or involuntary mobility and with wage rises or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009500750
I consider transactions involving asymmetric prisoners dilemmas between pairs of players selected chosen from two large populations. Games are played repeatedly, but information about cheating is not adequate to sustain cooperation, and there is no official legal system of contract enforcement....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400856