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Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments with only human traders. Today markets are substantially determined by algorithmic traders. Here we use a laboratory experiment to measure changes of human trading behavior if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392621
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003113337
prices react more to news in downturns than in upturns, implying higher volatility in downturns and negatively skewed returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794118
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003598631
limit-order market. In the market we study, informed traders are highly sensitive to spreads, volatility, momentum and depth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969203
We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401333
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496811
This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly … determined by the dynamics of this subset of fundamentals. As agents switch between models the nominal exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937806
Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003300967
profits. This paper examines whether or not anomalies such as intraday or time of the day effects give rise to exploitable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344868