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The world's rust belts : the heterogeneous effects of deindustrialization on 1,993 cities in six countries
Gagliardi, Luisa; Moretti, Enrico; Serafinelli, Michel - 2023
number of cities was able to adapt to the negative shock caused by deindustrialization. The U.S. has the lowest share …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444059
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Labor market institutions, fiscal multipliers, and macroeconomic volatility
Boeck, Maximilian; Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús; Glocker, … - 2022
We study empirically how various labor market institutions - (i) union density, (ii) unemployment benefit remuneration, and (iii) employment protection - shape fiscal multipliers and output volatility. Our theoretical model highlights that more stringent labor market institutions attenuate both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201691
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Asset price shocks, real expenditures, and financial structure : a multi-country analysis
Chirinko, Robert S. (contributor); Haan, Leo de (contributor) - 2008
This paper examines the responses of private consumption, residential investment, and business investment in 11 EU countries, Japan, and the United States to shocks in housing and equity prices. The effects are assessed with a Structural Vector Auto Regressive (SVAR) model, and four key findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003730274
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Technology shocks and aggregate fluctuations in an estimated hybrid RBC model
Malley, James R.; Woitek, Ulrich - 2009
This paper contributes to the on-going empirical debate regarding the role of the RBC model and in particular of technology shocks in explaining aggregate fluctuations. To this end we estimate the model's posterior density using Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods. Within this framework we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833344
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Macroeconomic factors and micro-level bank risk
Buch, Claudia M.; Eickmeier, Sandra; Prieto, Esteban - 2010
The interplay between banks and the macroeconomy is of key importance for financial and economic stability. We analyze this link using a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) which extends a standard VAR for the U.S. macroeconomy. The model includes GDP growth, inflation, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697545
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The VARying effect of foreign shocks in Central and Eastern Europe
Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca; Morales Zumaquero, Amalia; … - 2010
This paper investigates the impact of international shocks - interest rate, commodity price and industrial production shocks - on key macroeconomic variables in ten Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries by using near-VAR models and monthly data from the early 1990s to 2009. In contrast to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974654
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Monetary policy and the relative price of durable goods
Cantelmo, Alessandro; Melina, Giovanni - 2015
In a VAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new house and nondurables prices. These findings survive three identification strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515460
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Impulse response matching estimators for DSGE models
Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo A.; Inoue, Atsushi; Kilian, Lutz - 2016
One of the leading methods of estimating the structural parameters of DSGE models is the VAR-based impulse response matching estimator. The existing asymptotic theory for this estimator does not cover situations in which the number of impulse response parameters exceeds the number of VAR model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418016
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Country-specific oil supply shocks and the global economy : a counterfactual analysis
Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2015
the shock. In particular, we find that adverse shocks to Iranian oil output are neutralized in terms of their effects on … contrast, a negative shock to oil supply in Saudi Arabia leads to an immediate and permanent increase in oil prices, given that … supply shock has significant adverse effects for the global economy with real GDP falling in both advanced and emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528313
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Credit shocks and macroeconomic fluctuations in emerging markets
Houssa, Romain; Mohimont, Jolan; Otrok, Christopher M. - 2013
In this paper, we examine the role of global and domestic credit supply shocks in macroeconomic fluctuations for Emerging Markets. For this purpose, we impose a set of zero and sign restrictions within a medium-scale Bayesian Vector Auto-Regressive model. Quarterly data from South Africa and G-7...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754529