based on proper science. The present paper explores sources of bias in the methods used to evaluate environmental policy in …

We empirically assess whether hindsight bias has consequences on how citizens evaluate their political actors. Using an …. Exogenous variation in the extent of hindsight bias, induced through random assignment to survey structures, allows us to show … that hindsight bias causally reduces trust in government. …

Using administrative data, we study the role of attribution bias in a high-stakes, consequential decision: the choice … of results is consistent with attribution bias and difficult to reconcile with competing explanations. …

We examine partisan bias in inflation expectations. Our dataset includes inflation expectations of the New York Fed … on how partisans respond to changes in the White House's occupant (partisan bias). The results also corroborate the …