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We evaluate the policy of flexible inflation targeting implemented by the Norges Bank since March 2001. We discuss the reasons why the real interest rates are significantly higher in Norway than in the rest of Europe. Finally we propose some institutional changes that can improve the policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408405
volatility, namely, seasonality and maturity effects for the pre-financialisation (1993-2003) and post-financialisation (2004 … futures' volatility before the financialisation period, open interest as a measure of liquidity has a negative effect after ….e. volatility of the contract increases as it nears to expiration since financialisation. This confirms the importance of accounting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599014
in energy markets, and test for this using standard correlation measures and recently proposed adjusted correlation, co …-skewness, and co-volatility contagion tests. Our analysis is applied to the oil-exchange rate and oil-stock market relationships of … and turbulent oil price volatility episodes with a non-hierarchical k-means clustering algorithm on volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922053
A new procedure to trace the sources of contagion in the oil-finance nexus is proposed. We do this by consolidating veteran rules derived from the empirical oil literature to filter oil supply, global demand, and oil demand shocks into discrete typical and extreme conditions. We show how these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120201
We study business uncertainty in high- versus low-volatility environments by surveying over 31,000 managers across 41 … their mean absolute deviations. Analogously, we measure realized volatility using absolute forecast errors. We establish two … new facts. (1) Subjective uncertainty and realized volatility both decline with GDP per capita. (2) Managers underestimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071152
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003499671
return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility … version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and show that the t-DCC model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
in specific correlation dynamics. A strong implication emerges: during the period under research, and from a different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
We investigate the relationship between oil prices and stock markets of selected oil importers and oil exporters at the time of the COVID-19 pandemic. We provide evidence in favour of energy contagion, in term of significantly higher correlations between oil and stock markets returns during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226706