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Using bankruptcy to reduce foreclosures : does strip-down of mortgages affect the supply of mortgage credit?
Li, Wenli; Ishani, Tewari; White, Michelle J. - 2014 - Current version: February 2014
We assess the credit market impact of allowing mortgage "strip-down" as a foreclosure-prevention measure, where strip …-term reduction in mortgage interest rates and a small, short-term increase in mortgage approval rates, but no long-term effects, and … the circuit court decisions did not consistently affect mortgage terms. These results suggest that strip-down would be an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337629
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Optimal risk-sharing in mortgage contracts : the effects of potential prepayment and default
Brueckner, Jan K.; Lee, Kangoh - 2014
Much of the literature on the economics of mortgage markets has studied the FRM-ARM choice made by individual borrowers … of optimal risk-sharing in mortgage contracts. But since only a small literature has studied this question, more research …'s (1986a) model, using it to characterize optimal contracts in the absence of mortgage termination, and then exploring how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412302
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Robust bond risk premia
Bauer, Michael D.; Hamilton, James D. - 2015 - Rev.: September 25, 2015
A consensus has recently emerged that a number of variables in addition to the level, slope, and curvature of the term structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used to support this conclusion are subject to very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346306
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Resolving the spanning puzzle in macro-finance term structure models
Bauer, Michael D.; Rudebusch, Glenn D. - 2015
Previous macro-finance term structure models (MTSMs) imply that macroeconomic state variables are spanned by (i.e., perfectly correlated with) model-implied bond yields. However, this theoretical implication appears inconsistent with regressions showing that much macroeconomic variation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476670
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Interest rate skewness and biased beliefs
Bauer, Michael D.; Chernov, Mikhail - 2021 - First draft: January 2021, this draft: June 16, 2021
Conditional yield skewness is an important summary statistic of the state of the economy. It exhibits pronounced variation over the business cycle and with the stance of monetary policy, and a tight relationship with the slope of the yield curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547050
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The term structure of interest rates in a heterogeneous monetary union
Costain, James; Nuño, Galo; Thomas, Carlos - 2022
We build a no-arbitrage model of the yield curves in a heterogeneous monetary union with sovereign default risk, which can account for the asymmetric shifts in euro area yields during the Covid-19 pandemic. We derive an affine term structure solution, and decompose yields into term premium and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285648
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Interest rates under falling stars
Bauer, Michael D.; Rudebusch, Glenn D. - 2017
Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key determinants of the term structure of interest rates. However, term structure analyses generally assume that these endpoints are constant. Instead, we show that allowing for time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688099
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Yield curve and financial uncertainty : evidence based on US data
Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2019
How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
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Quantitative easing in the euro area : an event study approach
Urbschat, Florian; Watzka, Sebastian - 2017
We examine the effects of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) gradually introduced by the European Central Bank from September 2014 onwards. Studying the short-term reaction of financial markets after APP press releases, we analyse the development of bond yields and spreads around these releases....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743065
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Movements in yields, not the equity premium : Bernanke-Kuttner redux
Nagel, Stefan; Xu, Zhengyang - 2024
We show that the stock market price reaction to monetary policy surprises upon announcements of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is explained mostly by changes in the default-free term structure of yields, not by changes in the equity premium. We reach this conclusion based on a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052545