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With inflation under control in many in middle income countries (MICs), it is now swings in credit, investment and asset prices that affect these countries the most. In this paper we present a framework to analyze both theoretically and empirically how credit market shocks are propagated and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514101
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.e. the largest feasible shock should be administered for the shortest possible amount of time. Depending on the particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003910506
The paper analyzes the dynamic effects of a total factor productivity shock and an interest rate risk premium shock in … bargaining are introduced. We find that a negative total factor productivity shock primarily has effects on the economy … significantly reduces the initial response of the unemployment rate. In case of a temporary productivity shock, sticky wages imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153857
Can central banks defuse rising stability risks in financial booms by leaning against the wind with higher interest rates? This paper studies the state-dependent effects of monetary policy on financial stability. Based on the near-universe of advanced economy financial cycles since the 19th...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260596
Researchers use (quasi-)experimental methods to estimate how shocks affect directly treated firms and households. Such methods typically do not account for general equilibrium spillover effects. I outline a method that estimates spillovers operating among groups of firms and households. I argue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489641
empirical literature studying the "China shock." We find that the China shock leads to average welfare increases in most U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013384886
We assess the credit market impact of allowing mortgage "strip-down" as a foreclosure-prevention measure, where strip-down reduces the principal of underwater residential mortgages to the current market value of the property for homeowners in Chapter 13 bankruptcy. Our identification is provided...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337629
of key macroeconomic variables to a monetary policy shock. We propose a datadriven approach that splits our panel of … countries into two disjoint groups according to the impact of the monetary policy shock on real house prices. Our results show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872444
We estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 2003Q1–2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy transmission can be described as mixture of two states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383710