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Switching-track after the great recession
Vinci, Francesca; Licandro, Omar - 2021
We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks destroy productive capacity, moving GDP to a lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939
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The macroeconomic policy challenges of balance sheet recession : lessons from Japan for the European crisis
Schnabl, Gunther - 2013
The paper compares the boom-and-bust cycles in Japan and Europe with respect to the reasons for excessive booms, the … characteristics of the crises, and the (potential) effects of the crisis therapies. As in Japan the consequence of expansionary … well as gradual real income losses, the economic policy implication for Japan and Europe is the timely exit from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743745
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Will stability last?
Martin, Will (contributor); Rowthorn, Bob (contributor) - 2004
the last decade. Using stylised models of the economies of the US, Euro area, UK and Japan, we argue that economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521030
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Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions
Baumeister, Christiane; Leiva-León, Danilo; Sims, Eric R. - 2021
In this paper, we develop a novel dataset of weekly economic conditions indices for the 50 U.S. states going back to 1987 based on mixed-frequency dynamic factor models with weekly, monthly, and quarterly variables that cover multiple dimensions of state economies. We show that there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584223
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Populism-what next? : a first look at populist walking-stick economies
Ball, Christopher; Freytag, Andreas; Kautz, Miriam - 2019
The recent rise in populist governments has led to much work on the question "why now?". Our work takes the next logical step by asking "what next?". That is, given populists in power, what should we expect to be the economic consequences of populist regimes. To answer this, we characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118535
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Rescue policies for small businesses in the Covid-19 recession
Di Nola, Alessandro; Kaas, Leo; Wang, Haomin - 2022
While the COVID-19 pandemic had a large and asymmetric impact on firms, many countries quickly enacted massive business rescue programs which are specifically targeted to smaller firms. Little is known about the effects of such policies on business entry and exit, factor reallocation, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166369
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Economic policy uncertainty spillovers in booms and busts
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Figueres, Juan … - 2018
We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment in Canada is shown to react to uncertainty shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
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Economic policy uncertainty and unemployment in the United States : a nonlinear approach
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Figueres, Juan … - 2018
We model U.S. post-WWII monthly data with a Smooth Transition VAR model and study the effects of an unanticipated increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to be statistically and economically larger in recessions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864417
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State capacity, national economic policies and local development : the Russian state in the Southern Urals
Asmus, Gerda; Franck, Raphaël - 2022
This study analyzes how state capacity shapes the local impact of national policies by exploiting a quasi-natural experiment in the regional expansion of the state. It uses the local discontinuity created by the boundary of the largest peasant rebellion in 18th century Russia where the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938946
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Cyclical fiscal policy, output volatility, and economic growth
Badinger, Harald (contributor) - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003674377