Showing 1 - 10 of 3,864
This paper tests the ability of popular New Keynesian models, which are traditionally used to study monetary policy and business cycles, to match the data regarding a key channel for monetary transmission: the dynamic interactions between macroeconomic variables and their corresponding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541080
their heterogeneity. We exploit survey data on output and inflation expectations by individual professional forecasters. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226634
We provide survey evidence on how households’ inflation expectations matter for their spending highlighting a … stable prices consume less durable goods than those expecting positive inflation. In contrast, differences across households … expecting positive inflation are associated with insignificant differences in durable consumption decisions. That distortion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499658
We study the link between expected inflation and wages using novel panel data from German firms and employees. We find … that pass-through—the percentage point change in wage growth given a one percentage point change in expected inflation … margin, expected inflation has little effect on additional wage negotiations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015061156
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200338
Inflation expectations are central to economics because they affect the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy as … well as realized inflation. We survey the recent literature with a focus on the inflation expectations of households. We … first review standard data sources and discuss their advantages and disadvantages. We then document that household inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886870
This exercise offers an innovative learning mechanism to model economic agent's decision-making process using a deep reinforcement learning algorithm. In particular, this AI agent is born in an economic environment with no information on the underlying economic structure and its own preference....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603191
This paper studies a new aspect of firms' expectation formation by asking whether expectations primarily reflect aggregate, industry-wide information (e.g., industry trends) or disaggregate information (e.g., firm-specific information). First, we show that disaggregate information is strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761559
consumption via managing inflation expectations based on the Euler equation. Unconventional fiscal policy uses trivial … announcements of future consumer-price increases to boost inflation expectations and consumption expenditure on impact. Instead … inflation expectations and spending today. We find households' inflation expectations and readiness to spend react substantially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290
Consensus Economics survey data on GDP growth, inflation, and short-term interest rates to approximate macroeconomic … priced in the cross section and drive the size and value premium, whereas inflation expectations serve as robust predictors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388605