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Most macroeconomic models treat the central bank and the trea-sury as a unified entity. The balance sheet of the … central bank is therefore implicitly treated as an accounting fiction. While this is often realistic, the central bank balance … sheet has implications for central bank independence. There are wide differences in the nature of central bank balance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399700
We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401333
We develop a simple model of the foreign exchange market in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one.This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509496
With a four-stage sequential game model, we study how bailouts ameliorate the effects of liquidation on fundamentals, reduce the likelihood of currency crises and affect the financial sector's (non-observable) effort. In stage 1, exchange rate regime is announced and all agents receive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539079
Academic Council awarded him the prize and title Distinguished CES Fellow for his outstanding work on the monetary theory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541194
The focus is upon equilibrium real exchange rates, optimal external debt and their interaction, in a world where both the return on investment and the real rate of interest are stochastic variables. These theoretically based measures are applied empirically to answer the following questions:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002524134
proposing a theory-based index of exchange market pressure within the euro area. We argue that the euro area entails an inherent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754245
We analyse how reversals of several types of capital flows impact currency crises in emerging market and developing economies. Estimates of logit models show that reversals of (equity and debt) portfolio flows significantly increase the likelihood of currency crises in emerging market economies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502445
foreign currency bank lending. We show that the patterns differ sharply across foreign currencies. The Swiss franc is used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344732
financial crisis. Relative to the size of the financial sector, central bank balance sheets had shrunk dramatically in the three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528949