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We study an investment experiment conducted with a representative sample of German households. Respondents invest in a safe asset and a risky asset whose return is tied to the German stock market. Experimental investments correlate with beliefs about stock market returns and exhibit desirable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298558
economic growth. The model is estimated using quarterly data for Germany, the UK and the US from 1960 to 1999. Our econometric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011511068
This paper studies how managers plan under uncertainty. In a new survey panel on German manufacturing firms, we show that uncertainty reflects change: Planning incorporates higher subjective uncertainty about future sales growth when the firm has just experienced unusual growth, and more so if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668288
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496786
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Despite massive digitization efforts, the German economy has experienced a marked slowdown in its productivity growth. This paper analyzes the reasons behind this disconcerting development. A major factor is the turnaround of the labor market that commenced around 2005. The successful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900858
An extensive literature has studied ambiguity aversion in economic decision making, and how ambiguity aversion can account for empirically observed violations of expected utility-based theories. Almost all relevant applied models presume a general dislike of ambiguity. In this paper, we provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496989
-shifting, are large. We test this prediction using confidential firm-level tax-return data for the local business tax in Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003792841
COVID-19 hit firms by surprise. In a high frequency, representative panel of German firms, the business outlook declined and business uncertainty increased only when the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic led to domestic policy changes: The announcement of nation-wide school closures on March 13...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249044
In this paper, we zoom in on the firm level of German merchandise foreign trade, using a novel data base with information on the export and import value by firm, country, product and year for the period 2011-2019. Problems arising from the consolidated reporting of taxable entities and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306801