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Double-question survey measures for the analysis of financial bubbles and crashes

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Johnsson, Ida - 2016

This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals.subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586267

Bubbles in hybrid markets : how expectations about algorithmic trading affect human trading

Farjam, Mike; Kirchkamp, Oliver - 2015

Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments … smaller bubbles if human traders expect algorithmic traders to be present. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392621

Bitcoin and web search query dynamics : is the price driving the hype or is the hype driving the price?

Süssmuth, Bernd - 2019

Using a battery of timely multivariate time series techniques I study the Bitcoin cryptocurrency price series and web search queries with regard to their mutual predictability, Granger-causality and cause-effect delay structure. The Bitcoin is at first treated as a general currency, then as a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026340

Another look at cryptocurrency bubbles

Gronwald, Marc - 2019

This paper deals with cryptocurrency bubbles. First, it points out that a number of recent papers on cryptocurrency … bubbles are awed due to an insufficient consideration of the fundamental value of cryptocurrencies. As even fiat money is said … to exhibit features of bubbles, the same applies to cryptocurrencies. Thus, any empirical investigation into either the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033146

Market depth, leverage, and speculative bubbles

Enders, Zeno; Hakenes, Hendrik - 2017

We develop a model of rational bubbles based on leverage and the assumption of an imprecisely known maximum market size … lend to traders with limited liability in a bubble is endogenous. Bubbles reduce welfare of future investors. We provide … general conditions for the possibility of bubbles depending on uncertainty about market size, traders' degree of leverage and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780495

Money is the root of asset bubbles

Awaya, Yu; Iwasaki, Kohei; Watanabe, Makoto - 2024

This paper examines how monetary expansion causes asset bubbles. When there is no monetary expansion, a bubbly asset is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014467370

Dynamic trading and asset prices : Keynes vs. Hayek

Cespa, Giovanni; Vives, Xavier - 2009

We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model. We show that prices are farther away from (closer to) fundamentals compared with average expectations if and only if traders over- (under-) rely on public...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897551

International capital markets structure, preferences and puzzles : the US-China case

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Donadelli, Michael; Varani, … - 2014

A canonical two country-two good model with standard preferences does not address three classic international macroeconomic puzzles as well as two well-known asset pricing puzzles. Specifically, under financial autarky, it does not account for the high real exchange rate (RER) volatility...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250047

Measuring market expectations

Baumeister, Christiane - 2021

Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575

Stock market returns, corporate governance and capital market equilibrium

Parigi, Bruno; Pelizzon, Loriana; Thadden, Ernst-Ludwig von - 2013

This paper proposes a theoretical model that incorporates corporate governance into the basic CAPM, where corporate governance affects the disutility of managerial effort and the possibility of managers to divert company resources. It shows that corporate governance affects firms’ stock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212666