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This paper examines some determinants of banking crises in developing economies. Specifically, the effects of terms of trade shocks and capital flows are analyzed. The choice of the nominal exchange rate regime is found to be a crucial factor in the way various shocks are transmitted through the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410637
exported primary commodities, imported capital goods and intermediate inputs, and a financial shock, modeled as fluctuations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781698
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003624594
This paper shows how a world price shock can increase the likelihood that democratization must be used to resolve the … price shock can push the country into a situation where the elite face a commitment problem that only democratization can … resolve. Because the world price shock may also reduce average incomes, the model provides a way to understand why the level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010485531
We provide evidence that political instability deteriorates economic growth. We establish this result based on panel difference-in-differences strategies and dynamic panel data models using a large sample of 180 countries, a novel geocoded dataset for 2,660 regions, and micro data for about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219694
Using data on a panel of 56 democratic countries in the period 1975-2004, we find evidence of a negative association between political stability and economic growth which is stronger and empirically more robust in countries with high bureaucratic costs. Motivated by these results, which contrast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003808628
We focus on the link between political instability due to uncertain electoral outcomes and economic growth, through the impact on a government's decisions on how to allocate government expenditure between public consumption and investment. Using an endogenous growth model with partisan electoral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781587
Against the background of a notoriously high macroeconomic instability and the need to raise tax revenues to meet the demands of public spending, this paper analyzes the tradeoff between growth and volatility of tax revenues in Latin America. We use a two-step Engle-Granger-type model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009230
This paper presents an analysis of the effect of bureaucratic corruption on economic growth through a public finance transmission channel. At the theoretical level, we develop a simple dynamic general equilibrium model in which financial intermediaries make portfolio decisions on behalf of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003748210
I propose a new conceptual framework to disentangle the impacts of weather and climate on economic activity and growth: A stochastic frontier model with climate in the production frontier and weather shocks as a source of inefficiency. I test it on a sample of 160 countries over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486667