. -- cointegration ; oil market ; futures prices ; price discovery …

interdependency of national monetary policies, which is sometimes measured by the degree of inflation transmission across borders. In … this paper, we examine how inflation rates in two small open economies, namely Hong Kong and Singapore, interact with those … model is used to study the inflation dynamics. It is found that Hong Kong and Singapore inflation rates, but not the U …

This paper revisits the Fisher hypothesis by estimating fractional integration and cointegration models that are more …, linking nominal interest rates to inflation; however, there is no evidence of the full adjustment of the former to the latter …

find evidence of its linchpin prediction that is not limited to periods of high inflation. -- quantity theory of money …

with simulations. Two examples based on European unemployment and inflation series are used to illustrate the virtue of the …

This paper investigates the predictive power of the shadow rate for the inflation rate in countries with a zero lower … parameters we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of an inflation model including a shadow rate interaction term … inflation rate are evaluated. The models including the shadow rate interaction term are found to outperform the benchmark ones …

intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output growth and inflation, obtained using a small macroeconometric model, are … presented. We discuss in detail the probability that inflation will fall within the Bank of England's target range and that … insights on the interrelatedness of output growth and inflation outcomes at different horizons. …