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This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the period 1962-2021 using two different fractional integration approaches including Chebyshev polynomials and Fourier functions respectively. The results for both quarterly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813850
to holders of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). Using detailed micro data, we show that cash flow shocks … during the COVID-19 pandemic predict CRE mortgage delinquency, especially those stemming from lease expiration of offices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015061135
Households participating in financial markets pay attention to inflation news when making their investment decisions, even in an environment of mostly low and stable inflation. ETFs and open-ended mutual funds holding Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) receive inflows from retail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463289
We assess the credit market impact of allowing mortgage "strip-down" as a foreclosure-prevention measure, where strip …-term reduction in mortgage interest rates and a small, short-term increase in mortgage approval rates, but no long-term effects, and … the circuit court decisions did not consistently affect mortgage terms. These results suggest that strip-down would be an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337629
Previous macro-finance term structure models (MTSMs) imply that macroeconomic state variables are spanned by (i.e., perfectly correlated with) model-implied bond yields. However, this theoretical implication appears inconsistent with regressions showing that much macroeconomic variation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476670
How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
In this paper we examine the role of mortgage equity withdrawal in explaining the decline of the US saving rate, since … when house prices rise and mortgage rates are low, homeowners have an incentive to withdraw housing equity and this may … withdrawal and interest rates and find that indeed mortgage equity withdrawal is a key determinant of the observed saving pattern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571747
, mortgage credit constraints and a price-to-price feedback loop affects house price volatility. Considering 247 Metropolitan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488113
Both Japan and parts of the European Monetary Union have experienced boom and bust in stock and real estate markets, which have been followed by a lasting crisis. The paper analyses the role of a high degree of regional heterogeneity for public debt and monetary policy in the context of crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476067
We analyze link between mortgage-related regulatory penalties levied on banks and the level of systemic risk in the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697108