Showing 1 - 10 of 686
We investigate regime-dependent Granger causality between real output, inflation and monetary indicators and map with U … variables to explain variations in real output and inflation. We provide a comprehensive account of evolution of causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157284
The paper analyses the reasons for Japan's persistently low inflation since the bursting of the Japanese bubble economy … (low inflation conundrum). It is shown that Japan experienced a structural break from a high-growth period with relatively … high inflation to a low-growth period with exceptionally low inflation since the early 1990s. We show based on a stylized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013284915
. The analysis is conducted for five inflation targeting countries (the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Sweden) and … near future, namely central banks are perceived as more credible when sticking to their goal of keeping inflation at a low …, UIP holds better in inflation targeting countries, where monetary authorities appear to achieve a higher degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
We assess the impact of China's bilateral political relations with three main trading partners-the US, Germany, and the UK-on current account balances and exchange rates, over the 1960Q1-2022Q4 period. Relying on the lag-augmented VAR approach with time-varying Granger causality tests, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014443830
We study the short-run effect of elections on monetary aggregates in a sample of 85 low and middle income democracies (1975 - 2009). We find an increase in the growth rate of M1 during election months of about one tenth of a standard deviation. A similar effect can neither be detected in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342347
This paper focusses on the relation between external imbalances and domestic money and credit growth in the euro area. We compute money and credit overhang both for the euro area as a whole and for individual member countries. Our results show that both aggregate money and credit overhang have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010210704
is constructed for the German monetary sector based on M3, GNP, an inflation rate, a long-term interest rate and a short …-term rate which represents the policy variable of the DBB. Moreover, import price inflation is included as an exogenous variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400913
In a VAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new house and nondurables prices. These findings survive three identification strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515460
Using a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) with a new sign restriction framework, we study the changing effectiveness of the Bank of Japan's Quantitative Easing policies over time. We analyse the Zero-Interest Rate Policy from 1999 to 2000, the Quantitative Easing Policy from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010383204
policy shock leads to a persistent fall in international output, a drop in global inflation rates, a rise in international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444866