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Budgetary and external imbalances relationship : a panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

We assess the cointegration relationship between current account and budget balances, and effective real exchange rates …, using recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and SUR methods. We investigate the magnitude of the relationship … panel cointegration tests used allow for within and between correlation, while the SUR results show both positive and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003808652

Twin deficits through the looking glass : time-varying analysis in the euro area

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813893

Fiscal consolidation and the current account : OECD evidence

Breuer, Christian; Nam, Chang-woon - 2020

We apply a "new" conventional (CAPB-based) measure of fiscal policy, which is less prone to endogeneity issues, and find that a 1-percent of GDP fiscal consolidation leads to the improvement of the current account-to-GDP ratio by approximately 0.8 percent of GDP, while previous research based on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157972

Bootstrap panel Granger-causality between government budget and external deficits for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

We investigate the existence of Granger-causality between current account and government budget balances over the period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006), which is based on SUR systems and Wald tests with country specific...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818006

Fiscal sustainability of the German Laender : time series evidence

Burret, Heiko T.; Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A. - 2014

-run relation between expenditures and revenues in a cointegration analysis within each Land. The results provide evidence against …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388609

Panel cointegration tests on the fiscal sustainability of German Laender

Burret, Heiko T.; Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A. - 2014

by applying "gsecond generation" panel cointegration techniques. A unique identification strategy for the selection of … sub-panels improves the robustness of panel cointegration tests and reveals that Laender finances are hardly sustainable. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388585

Privatisation and institutions : a cross country analysis

Bortolotti, Bernardo; Siniscalco, Domenico; Fantini, … - 2000

Privatisation, i.e. the transfer of ownership and control of state-owned enterprises, is a worldwide phenomenon. Which political, economic and institutional factors are shaping this process? This paper addresses the issue presenting new evidence from a sample of 49 countries. From an empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786716

Understanding the emergence of public debt

Fochmann, Martin; Sadrieh, Abdolkarim; Weimann, Joachim - 2014

We use a controlled laboratory experiment with and without overlapping generations to study the emergence of public debt. Public debt is chosen by popular vote, pays for public goods, and is repaid with general taxes. With a single generation, public debt is accumulated prudently, never leading...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358972

Partisan fiscal policy : evidence from Central and Eastern Europe

Schneider, Ondřej - 2019

This paper examines effects of political ideology of a governing party on fiscal outcomes, using data from eight Central and Eastern European countries in the 2001-2017 period. The analysis shows that there is a statistically significant effect of conservative governments on fiscal variables,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157827

Inflation tales : the heterogenous price effects from current account dynamics

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Jalles, João Tovar; … - 2024

This paper examines the impact of current account balances on energy, headline, and core inflation across developed and developing economies from 1980 to 2023. Using Panel OLS fixed effects, Panel-IV 2SLS and Panel Vector Autoregressive models, we find that an improvement in the current account...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015134043