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Budgetary and external imbalances relationship : a panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

We assess the cointegration relationship between current account and budget balances, and effective real exchange rates …, using recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and SUR methods. We investigate the magnitude of the relationship … panel cointegration tests used allow for within and between correlation, while the SUR results show both positive and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003808652

Twin deficits through the looking glass : time-varying analysis in the euro area

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813893

Fiscal consolidation and the current account : OECD evidence

Breuer, Christian; Nam, Chang-woon - 2020

We apply a "new" conventional (CAPB-based) measure of fiscal policy, which is less prone to endogeneity issues, and find that a 1-percent of GDP fiscal consolidation leads to the improvement of the current account-to-GDP ratio by approximately 0.8 percent of GDP, while previous research based on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157972

Bootstrap panel Granger-causality between government budget and external deficits for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

We investigate the existence of Granger-causality between current account and government budget balances over the period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006), which is based on SUR systems and Wald tests with country specific...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818006

Understanding the emergence of public debt

Fochmann, Martin; Sadrieh, Abdolkarim; Weimann, Joachim - 2014

We use a controlled laboratory experiment with and without overlapping generations to study the emergence of public debt. Public debt is chosen by popular vote, pays for public goods, and is repaid with general taxes. With a single generation, public debt is accumulated prudently, never leading...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358972

Partisan fiscal policy : evidence from Central and Eastern Europe

Schneider, Ondřej - 2019

This paper examines effects of political ideology of a governing party on fiscal outcomes, using data from eight Central and Eastern European countries in the 2001-2017 period. The analysis shows that there is a statistically significant effect of conservative governments on fiscal variables,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157827

Exchange-rate adjustment and macroeconomic interdependence between stagnant and fully employed countries

Ono, Yoshiyasu - 2014

This paper presents a two-country two-commodity dynamic model with free international asset trade in which one country achieves full employment and the other suffers long-run unemployment. Own and spill-over effects of changes in policy, technological and preference parameters that emerge...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250169

The impact of financial (de-)regulation on current account balances

Moral-Benito, Enrique; Röhn, Oliver - 2014

Both global imbalances and financial market (de-)regulation feature prominently among the potential causes of the global financial crisis, but they have been largely discussed separately. In this paper, we take a different angle and investigate the relationship between financial market...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436581

Japan's imbalance of payments

Müller-Plantenberg, Nikolas - 2003

During the past three decades, Japan s current account experienced five large swings. The yen appreciated considerably in periods when the current account boomed, and it depreciated whenever Japan s external performance weakened. However, there has always been a certain lag in the adjustment of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404619

Macroeconomic policy making and current account imbalances in the euro area

Murai, Taiki; Schnabl, Gunther - 2021

The paper analyses the role of fiscal and monetary policy for the development of the current account imbalances in the euro area, including the most recent developments during the coronavirus crisis. Several financial transmission channels such as international bank lending, changes in TARGET2...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012550195

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