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Learning, structural instability and present value calculations
Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor);  … - 2006
Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such predictions are generally surrounded by considerable uncertainty and may critically depend on assumptions about parameter values as well as the form and stability of the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003300967
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The impact of FX central bank intervention in a noise trading framework
Beine, Michel (contributor); De Grauwe, Paul (contributor);  … - 2005
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003113337
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Reputational herding in financial markets : a laboratory experiment
Roider, Andreas; Voskort, Andrea - 2015
We study reputational herding in financial markets in a laboratory experiment. In the spirit of Dasgupta and Prat (2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472692
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Adaptive social learning
March, Christoph - 2016
The paper investigates social-learning when the information structure is not commonly known. Individuals repeatedly interact in social-learning settings with distinct information structures. In each round of interaction, they use their experience gained in past rounds to draw inferences from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434567
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Altruistic observational learning
March, Christoph; Ziegelmeyer, Anthony - 2016
We report two information cascade game experiments that directly test the impact of altruism on observational learning. Participants interact in two parallel sequences, the observed and the unobserved sequence. Only the actions of the observed entail informational benefits to subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436128
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Overfunding and signaling effects of herding behavior in crowdfunding
Kapounek, Svatopluk; Kučerová, Zuzana - 2019
The paper employs a dynamic market-wide herding behavior measure of 117,166 lending-based campaigns in 119 online … show that herding behavior plays an important signaling role in reducing opportunity costs if the auction does not receive … enough monetary bids. Additionally, our threshold models identify significant herding behavior after funding goals are raised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138907
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Excessive herding in the laboratory : the role of intuitive judgments
March, Christoph; Ziegelmeyer, Anthony - 2018
actions that contradict their high quality signals they herd more extensively than predicted by Bayes-rational herding …-Bayesian updating and informational misinferences are the two channels that drive excessive herding, while the strong (resp. mild … observational learning accounts for the phenomenon of excessive herding, it captures well herd behavior with medium quality signals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789104
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Fundamentals, misvaluation, and investment : the real story
Chirinko, Robert S. (contributor);  … - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003495775
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Currency traders and exchange rate dynamics : a survey of the U.S. market
Cheung, Yin-Wong; Chinn, Menzie David - 2000
We report findings from a survey of United States foreign exchange traders. Our results indicate that: (i) in recent years electronically-brokered transactions have risen substantially, mostly at the expense of traditional brokers; (ii) the market norm is an important det e rminant of interbank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781525
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Modeling optimism and pessimism in the foreign exchange market
De Grauwe, Paul (contributor);  … - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496811