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Has the EMU reduced wage growth and unemployment? : testing a model of trade union behaviour
Mikosch, Heiner; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2011
By using a model of trade union behaviour Grüner (2010) argues that the introduction of the European Monetary Union (EMU) led to lower wage growth and lower unemployment in participating countries. Following Grüner's model, monetary centralization lets the central bank react less flexibly to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009127665
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Is the slope of the euro area Phillips Curve steeper than It seems? : heterogeneity and identification
Schuffels, Johannes; Kool, Clemens; Lieb, Lenard; Veen, … - 2022
Heterogeneity in Phillips Curve slopes among members of a monetary union can lead to downward biases to estimates of the union-wide slope in reduced form regressions. The intuition is that in a monetary union with heterogeneous regional Phillips Curve slopes, the central bank, aiming at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455773
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Structural reforms and the enlargement of monetary union
Hefeker, Carsten - 2000
The paper addresses the question what effects the enlargement of a monetary union will have on necessary structural refoms in the (low distortion) member countries and the (high distortion) candidate country. While monetary union lowers reforms in the candidate country, members of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781545
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The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the role of expectations : evidence from the Ifo world economic survey
Henzel, Steffen (contributor);  … - 2006
, we follow Roberts (1997) and Adam and Padula (2003) and use direct measures of inflation expectations. The data source is … the Ifo World Economic Survey, which quarterly polls economic experts about their expected future development of inflation … turns out to more relevant for most countries in our sample. (ii) The use of survey data for inflation expectations yields a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301367
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Revisions of potential output estimates in the EU after the Great Recession
Dovern, Jonas; Zuber, Christopher - 2019
Using European Commission real-time data, we show that potential output (PO) estimates were substantially and persistently revised downwards after the Great Recession. We decompose PO revisions into revisions of the capital stock, trend labor, and trend total-factor productivity (TFP)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026398
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One country, one vote? : labor market structure and voting rights in the ECB
Berger, Helge; Hefeker, Carsten - 2004
The pending enlargement of the European Monetary Union (EMU) has brought to the fore the discussion of the voting right distribution in the European Central Bank (ECB) council. We show that, in a model where labor unions internalize the inflationary consequences of wage setting, deviating from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402520
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Sixty years of global inflation : a post-GFC update
Auer, Raphael A.; Pedemonte, Mathieu; Schoenle, Raphael - 2024
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
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Effectiveness and transmission of the ECB's balance sheet policies
Boeckx, Jef; Bossche, Maarten; Peersman, Gert - 2014
We estimate the effects of exogenous innovations to the balance sheet of the ECB since the start of the financial crisis within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet shock stimulates bank lending, stabilizes financial markets, and has a positive impact on economic activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010383862
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The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis : conference paper
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013
This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974
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Unconventional monetary policy in the euro area : impacts on loans, employment, and investment
Afonso, António; Pereira, Francisco Gomes - 2022
Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy on a micro panel at the bank and firm level, we study the transmission effectiveness of ECB’s large-scale asset purchasing programs programs (i.e. APP and PEPP) in the Euro area. Our findings show: first, balance sheet composition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888479