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Long-run trends and cycles in US house prices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2023
This paper analyses US nominal house prices at an annual frequency over the period from 1927 to 2022 by means of a very general time series model. This includes both a (linear and non-linear) deterministic and a stochastic component, with the latter allowing for fractional orders of integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427184
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The relationship between healthcare expenditure and disposable personal income in the US states : a fractional integration and cointegration analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Cuñado Eizaguirre, Juncal; … - 2015
period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and non-linearity of … both series are found to vary considerably across states, whilst the fractional cointegration analysis suggests that a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283833
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Linkages between the US and European stock markets : a fractional cointegration approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2015
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the … diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343058
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Central bank policy rates : are they cointegrated?
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Carcel, Hector; Gil-Alaña, … - 2017
the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619627
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Testing for UIP : nonlinearities, monetary announcements and interest rate expectations
Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021
This paper re-examines the UIP relation by estimating first a benchmark linear Cointegrated VAR including the nominal exchange rate and the interest rate differential as well as central bank announcements, and then a Cointegrated Smooth Transition VAR (CVSTAR) model incorporating nonlinearities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
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The transmission of German monetary policy in the pre-Euro period
Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 2001
A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400913
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Cash in circulation and the shadow economy : an empirical investigation for Euro area countries and beyond
Seitz, Franz; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Schneider, Friedrich - 2018
within a panel cointegration framework. Besides the total net issues, we distinguish between large, medium and small euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872942
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Payment innovations, the shadow economy and cash demand of households in euro area countries
Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Schneider, Friedrich; Seitz, Franz - 2020
panel cointegration framework. Besides the traditional determinants of cash demand like transactions balances and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291866
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The economic effects of Brexit : evidence from the stock market
Breinlich, Holger; Leromain, Elsa; Novy, Dennis; … - 2018
We study stock market reactions to the Brexit referendum on 23 June 2016 in order to assess investors' expectations about the effects of leaving the European Union on the UK economy. Our results suggest that initial stock price movements were driven by fears of a cyclical downturn and by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900762
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The heterogeneous impact of Brexit : early indications from the FTSE
Davies, Ronald B.; Studnicka, Zuzanna - 2017
The UK's decision to leave the EU is surrounded by several studies simulating its potential effects. Alternatively, we examine expectations embodied in stock returns using a two-part estimation process. While most firms' prices fell, there was considerable heterogeneity in their relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654631