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We analyze the influence of IMF and World Bank programs on political regime transitions. We develop an extended version of Acemoglu and Robinson's [American Economic Review 91, 2001] model of political transitions to show how the anticipation of new loans from in-ternational financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630635
This paper studies how political fragmentation affects government stability. We show that each additional party with … representation in Parliament increases the probability that the incumbent government is unseated by 4 percentage points. Governments … with more resources at their disposal for bargaining are less likely to be replaced. When they are, new government leaders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197630
We study how partisan alignment across levels of government affects coalition formation and government stability using … alignment on both government formation and stability. Alignment increases the probability that the most-voted party appoints the … mayor and decreases the probability that the government is unseated during the term. Aligned parties also obtain sizeable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426059
This paper develops a dynamic framework to analyze the political sustainability of economic reforms in developing countries. First, we demonstrate that economic reforms that are proceeding successfully may run into a political impasse, with the reform's initial success having a negative impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249669
This paper studies empirically the effects of and the interactions amongst economic and political liberalizations. Economic liberalizations are measured by a widely used indicator that captures the scope of the market in the economy, and in particular of policies towards freer international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450308
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003364637
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003630516
political rights do better. Second, different forms of democratic government lead to different economic policies, and this might …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301122
institutional changes as central government’s choices under uncertainty, which are largely driven by the strategic outcomes in a … behavioral coordination game between local officials and private businessmen. With field facts in China, this study suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010404541
This paper investigates the changing nature of economic integration in China. Specifically, we consider business … the symmetry of shocks. -- VAR model ; business cycle synchronization ; China ; reform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736755