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In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003113337
This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly … determined by the dynamics of this subset of fundamentals. As agents switch between models the nominal exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937806
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003364632
beliefs of market participants. We find for our sample that intervention increases exchange rate volatility (and spread) for … the next minutes but that intervention days show a lower degree of volatility (and spread) than non-intervention days. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850509
In the winter 2011/12 a wave of internal capital flight prompted the ECB to abandon its exit strategy and to announce an unprecedented monetary expansion. We analyze this episode in several dimensions: (i) by providing an event-study analysis covering key variables from national central banks'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754245
that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035050
the yen/US dollar dynamics. -- exchange rates ; interventions ; Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009312174
Using a new daily dataset for all stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange between 1905 and 1910, we study the impact of information asymmetry during the liquidity freeze and market run of October 1907 - one of the most severe financial crises of the 20th century. We estimate that the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522131
. Daily data reveal significant differences in volatility on the last of three meeting days when the interest rate … macroeconomic news effects on the foreign exchange market. We find evidence for non-linear regime switching between a high-volatility …, informed-trading state and a low-volatility, liquidity-trading state. MPC surprise announcements are shown significantly to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831967
implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blowʺ narrative is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861767