Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key …*t substantially increases the accuracy of long-range interest rate forecasts, helps predict excess bond returns, improves estimates of …

This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the …

pay back debt. In the long run, the allocation of undistributed cash to investment, retained earnings, and debt repayment …

curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has substantial forecasting power for future bond excess returns, high …

We estimate the effect of electorally induced policy uncertainty on investment in the manufacturing sector. Because …, and because the policies relevant to business investment vary systematically by party, uncertainty over the partisan … affiliation of the future governor is a source of political risk to firms considering business investment. More importantly, the …

We study the effects of federal purchases on firm investment using a novel panel dataset that combines federal … firms’ capital investment by 10 to 13 cents. In line with the financial accelerator model, our findings indicate that the …-level analysis suggests that that the increase in investment at the firm level translates into an industry-wide effect without …

. Therefore, in an inflationary period generous tax depreciation provisions do not promote private investment as designed, but …

prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966 … pandemic period. We find that the unit root hypothesis cannot be rejected for stock prices while for bond yields the results … differ depending on the maturity date and the specification of the error term. In general, bond yields appear to be more …

This paper addresses the issue of how regulatory constraints affect firm s investment choices when the firm has an … option to delay investment. The RPI-x rule is compared to a profit sharing rule, which increases the x factor in case profits … go beyond a given level. It is shown that a pure price cap and profit sharing are identical in their impact on investment …