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Rare books of political economy are eminently collectable. Using historical prices, I employ hedonic regressions to estimate financial returns to collecting the works of ten eminent political economists and develop a price index for this corpus of collectables. For the observation period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437910
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Research in behavioral economics has uncovered the widespread phenomenon of people making decisions against their own good intentions. In these situations, the government might want to intervene, indeed individuals might want the government to intervene, to induce behavior that is closer to what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451127
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Macroeconomic theory has developed into increasingly sophisticated mathematical models. In the words of Mankiw … the development of macroeconomic theory over the past 40 years. The focus is on the main lines of thinking and the story … changes in macroeconomic theory and that the current debates after the GFC will be the start of a more plural approach to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211109
This paper contributes to the on-going empirical debate regarding the role of the RBC model and in particular of technology shocks in explaining aggregate fluctuations. To this end we estimate the model's posterior density using Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods. Within this framework we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833344
This paper develops a model of the war against illegal drugs in both producer and consumer countries. The paper studies the trade-off faced by the government of the drug consumer country between prevention policies (aimed at reducing the demand for drugs) and enforcement policies (aimed at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790762
We study the effect of a declining labor force on the incentives to engage in labor-saving technical change and ask how this effect is influenced by institutional characteristics of the pension scheme. When labor is scarcer it becomes more expensive and innovation investments that increase labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003791799
This paper conducts a broad-based comparison of iterated and direct multi-step forecasting approaches applied to both univariate and multivariate models. Theoretical results and Monte Carlo simulations suggest that iterated forecasts dominate direct forecasts when estimation error is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807908
Pension benefit rules depend on individual history far more than taxes do, and age plays a much larger role in pension determination than in tax determination. Apart from some simulation studies, theoretical studies of optimal tax design typically contain neither a mandatory pension system nor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850157