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this paper, we examine how inflation rates in two small open economies, namely Hong Kong and Singapore, interact with those … model is used to study the inflation dynamics. It is found that Hong Kong and Singapore inflation rates, but not the U ….S. one, respond to the error correction term. Compared with Singapore, the Hong Kong inflation rate is more responsive to U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409761
This paper examines the effect of financialisation of futures markets has on the relationship between crude oil futures and equities by using the VAR-DCC-GARCH model. Specifically, by accounting for the systematic patterns of commodity price volatility, namely, seasonality and maturity effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599014
This paper examines mean and volatility spillovers between four green municipal bonds issued by the US states of California, Colorado, Columbia and Ohio, and the role played by the recent Covid-19 pandemic and the COP policy announcements respectively. Specifically, four-variate VAR-GARCH-BEKK...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014234020
ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to econometric model building in the field of financial time series with time-varying variance. The main idea of the models was to describe the most typical features of capital markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942099
Macroeconomic news announcements are elaborate and multi-dimensional. We consider a framework in which jumps in asset prices around macroeconomic news and monetary policy announcements reflect both the response to observed surprises in headline numbers and latent factors, reflecting other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900777
The East Asian miracle was real. Prior to the 1997 economic and currency crises, Asian NICs Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409015
An important issue in the analysis of cross-sectional dependence which has received renewed interest in the past few years is the need for a better understanding of the extent and nature of such cross dependencies. In this paper we focus on measures of cross-sectional dependence and how such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488893
-August 2020, the other from the ECB reporting average monthly values over the period January 1900-August 2020. The estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383724
In this paper we develop a new way of modelling time variation in term premia. This is based on the stochastic discount factor model of asset pricing with observable macroeconomic factors. The joint distribution of excess holding period US bond returns of different maturity and the fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521058
Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination have focused upon a narrow set of models typically of the 1970 s vintage, including monetary and portfolio balance models. In this paper we re-assess the in-sample fit and out-of-sample prediction of a wider set of models that have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507659