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The paper analyses the impact of demographic developments on the German pension system until the year 2060. The projections are simulated for a range of assumptions on the latest demographic trends and on the labour market and comprise the latest pension legislation. As a central innovation we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782034
to the aging of the US population; however, lower productivity growth would result in higher optimal pension payments. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003630859
Public pay-as-you-go pensions still form the dominant pillar of old-age provision in Germany. This is in marked contrast to the situation in Anglo-Saxon countries. It has advantages if labour markets are strong, e.g., following a quick recovery from the Great Recession. It has disadvantages, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429583
Pension systems have recently been under scrutiny because of the expected population ageing threatening its sustainability. This paper's contribution to the debate is from a political economic perspective as it uses data from a Choice Experiment to investigate individual preferences for an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003883028
In order to help in designing an accurate pension reform, we determine the resource allocation in an endogenous fertility model that generates an endogenous demographic transition by means of distinguishing between female and male labor. We analyze the problem of the optimal solution and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402633
Continuous longevity improvements and population ageing have led countries to modify national public pension schemes by increasing the standard and early retirement ages in a discretionary, scheduled, or automatic way, and by making it harder for people to retire prematurely. To this end,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668785
Using an overlapping generations model, two new indicators of public pension system sustainability are proposed: the pension space, which measures the capacity to pay for pension expenditures out of labour taxation, and the pension space exhaustion probability reflecting demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014292762
We discuss public pension systems in a multi-period overlapping generations model with gerontologically founded human aging and a special focus on occupation-specific morbidity and mortality. We examine how distinct replacement rates for white-collar and blue-collar workers and early retirement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597268
Over the next four decades, increasing old-age dependency ratios exert an enormous upward pressure on welfare spending in most developed countries. As this is mainly due to existing unfunded public pension schemes, many countries have embarked on far-reaching reforms in this area, strengthening...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003928767