nowcasting and forecasting quarterly world GDP using mixed-frequency models. We find that a recently proposed indicator that … use this indicator to track the evolution of the nowcasts for the US, the OECD area, and the world economy during the …

, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast …

(China, India, Russia, Brazil) on the other. -- Climate change ; global negotiation …

&D cooperation. This paper explores this idea by analysing on the one hand the incentives for EU, Japan and Russia to adopt this …

panel difference-in-differences estimations and an event study design. Motivated by the claim that China and Russia … purposefully undermine US sanction efforts, we test whether target countries' trade with China and Russia increases under US trade … sanctions. We find no evidence for systematic sanction busting. Russia does not change its trade patterns with sanctioned …

period of coverage from 1950-2019 to 1950-2022, which includes two special periods - COVID-19 and the war between Russia and … trade. We also obtain estimates of the effects on trade of the 2014 sanctions on Russia, …

Using Russia as a case study and a global VAR model as a methodological tool, we analyze how heightened geopolitical … response functions in response to the skyrocketing Russian geo-political risk shock after Russia's invasion of Ukraine revealed …