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constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate … cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For both China and Japan - at different points of time - self-fulfilling runs …, speculative bubbles and post-bubble secular stagnation. To prevent a similar scenario for China capital controls, a tighter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475972
There is an increasing endorsement for the yen s depreciation as a means to fight the ongoing deflation in Japan. The idea of generating inflation via depreciation relies on the assumption that exporters pass-through most of the effect of the exchange rate changes to the Japanese importers and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402651
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003674399
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496593
China has been provoked into speeding renminbi internationalization. But despite rapid growth in offshore financial … could attract even more hot money inflows, the People's Bank of China should focus on tightly stabilizing the yuan/ dollar … exchange rate to encourage naturally high wage increases for balancing China's international competitiveness. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249643
model has relevance to the current situation in China where services remain unliberalized and tariff rates are bound in the … intellectual counter argument to those presently advocating a free Renminbi float for China. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002856541
We test a simple model of exchange rate regime choice with data for 65 non-OECD countries covering the period 1980-94.We find that the variance of output at home and in potential target c ountries as well as the correlation between home and foreign real activity are powerful and robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781534
The choice of an exchange rate peg often points to a trade-off between gaining credibility and losing flexibility. We show that the flexibility loss may be reduced if domestic and foreign shocks are coorelated and more volatile. Allowing for a plausible structural change after a peg, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398645
In an economy with large wage setters (like industry unions), the monetary regime affects the trade-off between consumer real wages and employment and profits faced by the wage setters. This paper shows that an exchange rate target, including participation in a monetary union, is likely to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408717
In this paper, we investigate how economic, political and institutional factors affect the choice of exchange rate regimes, using data on eight MENA (Middle East and North Africa) countries over the 1984-2016 period. Specifically, we run random-effects ordered probit regressions of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177144