Showing 1 - 10 of 252
Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments … smaller bubbles if human traders expect algorithmic traders to be present. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392621
We review methodological questions relevant for the design of information provision experiments. We first provide a literature review of major areas in which information provision experiments are applied. We then outline key measurement challenges and design recommendations that may be of help...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012240454
We evaluate the quality of beliefs elicited from online respondents, comparing several characteristics of two widely used elicitation mechanisms (the Binarized Scoring Rule - BSR - and a stochastic variation of the Becker-deGroot-Marshak mechanism -BDM) against a flat fee baseline for a variety...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415922
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals.subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586267
We examine the asymmetric impact of shocks to macroeconomic expectations and their underlying dispersion on equity risk premia across different market regimes. First, we rely on a two-state logit mixture vector autoregressive model and use Consensus Economics survey data on GDP growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388605
Suppose that a group of agents having divergent expectations can share risks efficiently. We examine how this group should behave collectively to manage these risks. We show that the beliefs of the representative agent is in general a function of the group.s wealth level, or equivalently, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507677
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
busts in the asset price without exogenous shocks. Small, stochastic price shocks lead to larger asset price bubbles, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157926
According to the Framework Convention on Climate Change, global collective action is needed to stabilize "greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous [our emphasis] anthropogenic interference with the climate system." The Framework Convention thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229864
We experimentally test overconfidence in investment decisions by offering participants the possibility to substitute their own for alternative investment choices. Overall, 149 subjects participated in two experiments, one with just one risky asset, the other with two risky assets. Overconfidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408444