Showing 1 - 10 of 3,946
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496561
. The analysis is conducted for five inflation targeting countries (the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Sweden) and … near future, namely central banks are perceived as more credible when sticking to their goal of keeping inflation at a low …, UIP holds better in inflation targeting countries, where monetary authorities appear to achieve a higher degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
Quarterly GDP figures usually are published with a delay of some weeks. A common way to generate GDP series of higher frequency, i.e. to nowcast GDP, is to use available indicators to calculate a single index by means of a common factor derived from a dynamic factor model (DFM). This paper deals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229863
Chen and Zadrozny (1998) developed the linear extended Yule-Walker (XYW) method for determining the parameters of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model with available covariances of mixed-frequency observations on the variables of the model. If the parameters are determined uniquely for available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011459174
relative to expert forecasts and show that the MFTVP- SV-VAR delivers better inflation nowcasts in this regard. Using an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154665
This paper presents a framework for empirical analysis of dynamic macroeconomic models using Bayesian filtering, with a specific focus on the state-space formulation of New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (NK DSGE) models with multiple regimes. We outline the theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470409
The paper advances the log-generalized gamma distribution as a suitable generator of conditional skewness. Based on the NYSE composite daily returns an asMA-asQGARCH model along with skewness dynamics is estimated. The results indicate a skewness that varies between sizeable negative skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398115
Long-run restrictions have been used extensively for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. Such restrictions are typically just-identifying but can be checked by utilizing changes in volatility. This paper reviews and contrasts the volatility models that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249640
little evidence for them. We argue that this outcome could be due to episodic failure of cointegration, possible two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013041372
the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619627