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Schlesinger, Harris; Gollier, Christian - 2001

We examine asset prices in a representative-agent model of general equilibrium. Assuming only that individuals are risk averse, we determine conditions on the changes in asset risk that are both necessary and sufficient for the asset price to fall. We show that these conditions neither imply,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398103

Cyclical asset returns in the consumption and investment goods sector

Heer, Burkhard; Maussner, Alfred; Süssmuth, Bernd - 2013

We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost identically in the US economy. In order to derive the cyclical behavior of the equity returns in these two sectors, we consider a standard two-sector real-business cycle model with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786095

Securitization and asset prices

Aksoy, Yunus; Basso, Henrique S. - 2015

During the 15 years prior to the global financial crisis the volume of securitized assets transacted in the US grew substantially, reflecting a change in the nature of the financial intermediation process. Together with increased securitization of assets, financial entities, who participate more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479921

Arbitrage pricing theory, the stochastic discount factor and estimation of risk premia from portfolios

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2021

The arbitrage pricing theory (APT) attributes differences in expected returns to exposure to systematic risk factors …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499632

Electricity and firm productivity : a general-equilibrium approach

Fried, Stephie; Lagakos, David - 2021

Many policymakers view power outages as a major constraint on firm productivity in developing countries. Yet empirical studies find modest short-run effects of outages on firm performance. This paper builds a dynamic macroeconomic model to study the long-run general-equilibrium effects of power...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745254

Forecasting regional industrial production with high-frequency electricity consumption data

Lehmann, Robert; Möhrle, Sascha - 2022

In this paper, we study the predictive power of electricity consumption data for regional economic activity. Using … unique weekly and monthly electricity consumption data for the second-largest German state, the Free State of Bavaria, we … that electricity consumption is the best performing indicator in the nowcasting setup and has higher accuracy than other …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362425

A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil

Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - 2016

Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about price expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of the underlying asset....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434566

Asymmetries in risk premia, macroeconomic uncertainty and business cycles

Görtz, Christoph; Yeromonahos, Mallory - 2019

A large literature suggests that the expected equity risk premium is countercyclical. Using a variety of different measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in recessions and declines much more gradually during the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129784

Persistence in the market risk premium : evidence across countries

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2020

This paper provides evidence on the degree of persistence of one of the key components of the CAPM, namely the market risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany and Japan, and for robustness purposes considers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199998

Pricing climate risk

Jensen, Svenn; Traeger, Christian - 2021

Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions are changing the energy balance of our planet. Various climatic feedbacks make the resulting warming over the next decades and centuries highly uncertain. We quantify how this uncertainty changes the optimal carbon tax in a stochastic dynamic programming...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597858

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