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We examine the impact of the last five decades of financial globalization on world GDP and income distribution, using a … pattern Unbalanced Financial Globalization. We then simulate a counterfactual trajectory of the world economy where the RKO … wedges are fixed at their pre-globalization levels. We find that unbalanced financial globalization led to a worsening of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340224
We construct several measures for the global financial cycle using dynamic factor models and data for 25 advanced and emerging countries over 1980-2019. Our results suggest that global cycles in asset prices and capital flows are highly similar and synchronized, especially during crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186798
This paper critically reviews the theoretical basis for the provision of the global financial safety net (GFSN) and provide a comprehensive database covering four elements of the GFSN (foreign exchange reserves, IMF financing, central bank swap lines and regional financing arrangements) for over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565481
benchmark calibration, we estimate that the capital misallocation induced by these barriers reduces World GDP by 7%, compared to …-country inequality: the standard deviation of log capital per employee is 80% higher than it would be in a world without barriers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514947
world return. Capital-exporting countries experience an increase in GNP, whereas the GDP effect is of ambiguous sign and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199729
According to the Globalization Paradox, globalization limits the freedom of choice for national governments. Capital …. Fixed factor taxes have the potential to improve welfare by defusing the globalization trilemma through a reduction in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375314
Our friend and colleague Rüdiger Dornbusch passed away before he was able tocomplete his book based on the Munich Lectures in Economics that he gave inNovember 17, 1998, at the Center for Economic Studies of Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität.The lectures contain a fascinating overview of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507825
We study the effects of financial sanctions on cross-border credit supply. Using a differences-in-differences approach to analyze eleven sanctions episodes between 2002 and 2015, we find that banks located in Germany reduce their positions in countries with sanctioned entities by 38%. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011952047
There is a perception that IMF programmes are not catalytic and instead associated with large capital outflows, higher refinancing costs for sovereigns and adverse movements in stock markets. This has led to concerns that an expectation of adverse effects of IMF programmes may deter countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846238
We add to the literature on the influence of the global financial cycle (GFC) and gyrations in capital flows. First, we build a new measure of the GFC based on a structural factor approach, which incorporates theoretical priors in its definition. This measure can also be decomposed in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129742