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Does "infant industry" preferential access durably boost export performance? This paper exploits significant trade …-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) in 2005 is used to assess whether apparel export expansions survived the erosion of preferences. To find a … East Africa the recent export growth was driven by new entrants rather than incumbent firms whose competitiveness might …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024617
A dynamic multi-stage decision-theoretic approach is introduced to establish the optimal offset and its incidence, the contract price arising from bargaining, and the scale of the acquisition. A new rationale is suggested for offsets in terms of their role as an insurance devise. Results are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646739
Cyber technology represents digital military capability with the purpose of causing damage to the military strength and the social infrastructure of a potential enemy. War using conventional weapons may be preceded by or combined with a war using cyber technology. This paper introduces such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011611284
We analyze how trade openness matters for interstate conflict over productive resources. Our analysis features a terms-of-trade channel that makes security policies trade-regime dependent. Specifically, trade between two adversaries reduces each one's incentive to arm given the opponent's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966909
branches to forecasting export growth across a multitude of European countries. Our pseudo out-of-sample analyses reveal that … indicators are superior: the Export Climate, the Production Expectations of domestic manufacturing firms, the Industrial … forecasters in order to choose the best-performing indicators and thus increasing the accuracy of export forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104016
model for six euro area countries suggests domestic demand and capacity constraints as additional variables for export … developments are relevant for short-run export dynamics particularly during more extreme stages of the business cycle. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300368
subsidies, and how changes in Russian gas consumption may affect its gas export to Europe. We also examine the importance of … Russian pipeline capacity to Europe, as well as impacts of hypothetical changes in Russian gas export behavior. For this … removing gas subsidies. More competitive Russian gas export behavior would lead to much higher gas export to Europe, but our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533092
. We combine information on rejections with Chinese firm-level export data. Border rejections amplify the turnover among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447532
export market and vice versa takes place in a smooth manner. Areas of weak reaction of exports to changes in domestic demand … constraints as additional variables for export equations. We apply the exponential and logistic variant of a smooth transition … regression model and find that domestic demand developments and uncertainty are relevant for short-run export dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718600
We present a new mechanism to explain politically induced changes in bilateral aid. We argue that shifts in the foreign policy alignment between a donor and a recipient country arising from leadership changes induce reallocation of development aid. Utilizing data from the G7 and 133 developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521976