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counterfactual stock market index price change that results purely from the change in the default-free yield curve induced by the … monetary policy surprise. The yield curve change in turn partly reflects a change in expected future short-term interest rates …/odd week FOMC cycle in stock index returns is also largely due to an FOMC cycle in the yield curve rather than the equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052545
This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on the spread between the yield on the 10-year … yield spreads in all PIIGS countries but Italy before September 2008; markets respond more to negative news, and their … reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417491
, we find that the effects in yield and spread reduction were most pronounced for the initial announcement on the Public … declining degree to which the ECB surprised markets and the increasingly burdensome institutional set-up of the APP. While yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743065
This paper empirically investigates the relationship between TV news coverage and the GIIPS countries' bond yield …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …-specific news have a significant impact on GIIPS yield spreads. A higher share of positive/negative news is positively associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955600
This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a fractional integration model suitable to capture both persistence and non-linearities, these being two important properties of interest rates. Two series are analysed, one from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383724
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the period 1962-2021 using two different fractional integration approaches including Chebyshev polynomials and Fourier functions respectively. The results for both quarterly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813850
Were government bond risk premia affected by the media in addition to the effects of major events? Revisiting the European debt crisis, we analyze the role of television news in the rise and re-convergence of GIIPS bond spreads vis-à-vis Germany from 2007 to 2016. We use a dataset of more than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486807
We employ a cross-quantilogram approach to assess relationships between quantiles of stock returns and sovereign yields, in the U.S. and Germany, in the period 1990-2024. Specifically, we focus on the lowest 5% quantile of stock returns and the highest 5% quantile of bond returns, providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015197299
Restrictions on the risk-pricing in dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) can unleash the power of no-arbitrage by … the US Treasury yield curve. The data strongly favor tight restrictions on risk pricing: only level risk is priced, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491726
During the 15 years prior to the global financial crisis the volume of securitized assets transacted in the US grew substantially, reflecting a change in the nature of the financial intermediation process. Together with increased securitization of assets, financial entities, who participate more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479921