Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 1,247
Cover Image
An alternative conditional asymmetry specification for stock returns
Brännäs, Kurt; Nordman, Niklas - 2001
The paper advances the log-generalized gamma distribution as a suitable generator of conditional skewness. Based on the NYSE composite daily returns an asMA-asQGARCH model along with skewness dynamics is estimated. The results indicate a skewness that varies between sizeable negative skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398115
Cover Image
Did US consumers 'save for a rainy day' before the Great Recession?
Anundsen, André Kallåk; Nymoen, Ragnar - 2015
The 'saving for a rainy day' hypothesis implies that households' saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518800
Cover Image
Persistence in the Russian stock market volatility indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2018
This paper applies a fractional integration framework to analyse the stochastic behaviour of two Russian stock market volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period 2010-2018. The empirical findings are consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
Cover Image
Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the Euro Area
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Onorante, Luca; Paesani, Paolo - 2009
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871923
Cover Image
Inflation in the G7 countries : persistence and structural breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2020
This paper examines long-range dependence in the inflation rates of the G7 countries by estimating their (fractional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226769
Cover Image
On the persistence of UK inflation : a long-range dependence approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Trani, … - 2018
This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively …-Bretton Woods changes in UK inflation are attributable to a fall in the volatility of permanent shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819378
Cover Image
Uncertainty across volatility regimes
Angelini, Giovanni; Bacchiocchi, Emanuele; Caggiano, … - 2017
We propose a new non-recursive identification scheme for uncertainty shocks, which exploits breaks in the unconditional volatility of macroeconomic variables. Such identification approach allows us to simultaneously address two major questions in the empirical literature on uncertainty: (i) Does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778668
Cover Image
The weekly structure of US stock prices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2010
In this paper we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and NYSE, at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the weekly structure of the series and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732289
Cover Image
The relationship between healthcare expenditure and disposable personal income in the US states : a fractional integration and cointegration analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Cuñado Eizaguirre, Juncal; … - 2015
This study examines the relationship between healthcare expenditure and disposable income in the 50 US states over the period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and non-linearity of both series are found to vary considerably across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283833
Cover Image
Modelling long-run trends and cycles in financial time series data
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria (contributor);  … - 2008
This paper proposes a very general time series framework to capture the long-run behaviour of financial series. The suggested model includes linear and non-linear time trends, and stationary and nonstationary processes based on integer and/or fractional degrees of differentiation. Moreover, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003720605