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We compare preferences for temporal resolution when uncertainty is resolved over a probability rather than a value. In … whether values or probabilities define the main object of uncertainty. In our experiment, however, most subjects resolved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456336
avoid ambiguity even when it means choosing dominated options. In contrast to the literature, we find that 55% of subjects … prefer a risky act to an ambiguous act that always provides a larger probability of winning. Our experimental design shows … that such a preference is not mainly due to a lack of understanding. We conclude that subjects avoid ambiguity per se …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014426529
months. We also observe a reduction in the probability of politicians making verifiable statements, suggesting that fact …-checking may also increase the ambiguity of politicians' statements. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463503
It has been argued that monetary incentives restrain individual creativity and hamper performance in jobs requiring out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786022
Over the past 20 years, macroeconomists have incorporated more and more results from behavioral economics into their models. We argue that doing so has helped fixed deficiencies with standard approaches to modeling the economy-for example, the counterfactual absence of inertia in the standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350486
Keynes' General Theory (1936) is arguably one of the most important books of the twentieth century. His ideas for stabilizing the aggregate economy have profoundly influenced economic theory as well as popular opinion about what governments can and should do with respect to the business cycle....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509394
After a brief review of classical, Keynesian, New Classical and New Keynesian theories of macroeconomic policy, we assess whether New Keynesian Economics captures the quintessential features stressed by J.M. Keynes. Particular attention is paid to Keynesian features omitted in New Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002746101
This paper estimates a nonlinear Threshold-VAR to investigate if a Keynesian liquidity trap due to a speculative motive was in place in the U.S. Great Depression and the recent Great Recession. We find clear evidence in favor of a breakdown of the liquidity effect after an unexpected increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863616
Macroeconomic theory has developed into increasingly sophisticated mathematical models. In the words of Mankiw, macroeconomics has developed from engineering into science. The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) revealed that the empirical relevance and the usefulness of these models is debatable. Why...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211109
In this paper we compare the Keynesian, neoclassical and Austrian explanations for low interest rates and sluggish growth. From a Keynesian and neoclassical perspective low interest rates are attributed to ageing societies, which save more for the future (global savings glut). Low growth is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012124862