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approximate optimal management. If changes are observed without too much delay, profit losses and errors in harvesting are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015877
-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time real options model with "tail risk". In a nutshell, our results … indicate the importance of tail risk and call for foresighted pre-emptive climate policies. -- climate policy ; extreme events …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994530
assumption of (intertemporal) risk neutrality reduces the growth effect in social discounting and significantly amplifies the … importance of risk and correlation. Second, debate and models largely overlook the difference in attitude with respect to risk … and with respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488887
-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to "fat-tailed" risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009b). Such risks are suggested to be an inevitable consequence of scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199723
The paper reexamines the welfare economics of intergenerational risk. Risk and its resolution over time are modeled as … preferences to (i) disentangle aversion to intergenerational inequality from aversion to risk, (ii) exhibit a preference for early … resolution of risk, (iii) show different discounting formulas depending on the magnitude of risk and on the timing of its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467848
intergenerational inequality aversion and for risk aversion. If growth increases (reduces) intra-generational inequality, the SDR is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206181
We present a simple approach to transform a deterministic numerical model, where several agents simultaneously make decisions, into a stochastic model. This approach, which builds on scenario aggregation, a numerical method developed to solve decision problems under uncertainty, is used to build...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212655
price, the equilibrium risk-free rate, and risk premia. Climate disasters, which are more likely to occur sooner as … temperature rises, significantly increase risk premia. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258563
. Uncertainty about the future rate of growth of the economy and emissions and the risk of macroeconomic disasters (tail risks) also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249287