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Competition and innovation in automobile markets

Ghosal, Vivek; Ni, Jiayao - 2015

Using data from the US automobile market, we empirically examine the link between competition and innovation … interesting market to examine the link between competition and innovation. We use firm-level time-series data over a long horizon … relationship is reasonably non-linear; (2) higher market-wide competition results in an increase in patenting, and the relationship …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342391

In search of leading indicators of economic activity in Germany

Bandholz, Harm; Funke, Michael - 2001

In this paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economicactivity in Germany estimated using a dynamic factor model with and withoutregime switching. The obtained optimal inferences of business cycle turningpoints indicate that the two-state regime switching procedure leads to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400394

Sector specific news shocks in aggregate and sectoral fluctuations

Görtz, Christoph; Tsoukalas, John D. - 2013 - First version: March 2011, This version: May 2013

Using a two-sector estimated DSGE model with a financial channel we show the sector where TFP news arrives matters for its propagation and quantitative importance. Anticipated increases in TFP expected to arrive in the consumption sector are expansionary while those in the investment sector are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753003

Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations

Enders, Zeno; Kleemann, Michael; Müller, Gernot J. - 2013

We assess the contribution of "undue optimism" (Pigou) to short-run fluctuations. In our analysis, optimism pertains to total factor productivity which determines economic activity in the long run, but is not contemporaneously observed by market participants. In order to recover optimism shocks...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224834

Aging, the great moderation and business-cycle volatility in a life-cycle model

Heer, Burkhard; Rohrbacher, Stefan; Scharrer, Christian - 2014

According to empirical studies, the life cycle of labor supply volatility exhibits a U-shaped pattern. This may lead to the conclusion that demographic change induces a drop in output volatility. We present an overlapping generations model that replicates the empirically observed pattern and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231628

Sovereigns versus banks : credit, crises, and consequences

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2013

Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and worries about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199757

Cyclical asset returns in the consumption and investment goods sector

Heer, Burkhard; Maussner, Alfred; Süssmuth, Bernd - 2013

We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost identically in the US economy. In order to derive the cyclical behavior of the equity returns in these two sectors, we consider a standard two-sector real-business cycle model with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786095

Aggregate fluctuations and international migration

Beine, Michel; Bourgeon, Pauline; Bricongne, Jean-Charles - 2013

Traditional theories of integration such as the optimum currency area approach attribute a prominent role to international labour mobility in coping with relative economic fluctuations between countries. However, recent studies on international migration have overlooked the role of short-run...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009791652

Does short-time work save jobs? : a business cycle analysis

Balleer, Almut; Gehrke, Britta; Lechthaler, Wolfgang; … - 2014

In the Great Recession most OECD countries used short-time work (publicly subsidized working time reductions) to counteract a steep increase in unemployment. We show that short-time work can actually save jobs. However, there is an important distinction to be made: While the rule-based component...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249718

Time series properties of the German monthly production index

Flaig, Gebhard - 2003

The production index is an important indicator for assessing the cyclical state of the economy. Unfortunately, the monthly time series is contaminated by many noisy components like seasonal variations, calendar and vacation effects. Only part of those nuisance components are explicitly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514105

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