Showing 1 - 10 of 344
The paper analyses the reasons for Japan's persistently low inflation since the bursting of the Japanese bubble economy … (low inflation conundrum). It is shown that Japan experienced a structural break from a high-growth period with relatively … high inflation to a low-growth period with exceptionally low inflation since the early 1990s. We show based on a stylized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013284915
We investigate regime-dependent Granger causality between real output, inflation and monetary indicators and map with U … variables to explain variations in real output and inflation. We provide a comprehensive account of evolution of causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157284
-in the context of a historic surge in inflation. We measure economic narratives in open-ended survey responses and represent …, households' narratives strongly shape their inflation expectations, which we demonstrate with descriptive survey data and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307680
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output … causality tests. The empirical results strongly support the existence of a single cointegrating relationship between employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009162091
quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast inflation. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand …. Using recursive estimates, indicator properties of monetary aggregates for inflation are assessed for the period from 2000 … the one for M2 is strongly influenced by these three observations. While in both cases forecasts for 2010 show inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936693
We study the short-run effect of elections on monetary aggregates in a sample of 85 low and middle income democracies (1975 - 2009). We find an increase in the growth rate of M1 during election months of about one tenth of a standard deviation. A similar effect can neither be detected in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342347
This paper focusses on the relation between external imbalances and domestic money and credit growth in the euro area. We compute money and credit overhang both for the euro area as a whole and for individual member countries. Our results show that both aggregate money and credit overhang have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010210704
. The analysis is conducted for five inflation targeting countries (the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Sweden) and … near future, namely central banks are perceived as more credible when sticking to their goal of keeping inflation at a low …, UIP holds better in inflation targeting countries, where monetary authorities appear to achieve a higher degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
We analyze the impact of the UK national minimum wage (NMW) on the employment of young workers. The previous literature …, we find a significant and negative employment effect for male workers at 21, which we believe to be an anticipation … effect on employment of young workers, with this effect possibly occurring already well in advance of reaching the threshold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764461
generalized anxiety disorder detract from the employment and labor force participation of males and females; however, we do not … addressing the potential endogeneity of mental illness, we continue to find that mental illness adversely affects employment and … gains in employment for 3.2 million individuals and reduction in workplace cost of absenteeism of $18.9 billion due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748359