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The good, the bad, and the ugly : impact of negative interest rates and QE on the profitability and risk-taking of 1600 German banks
Urbschat, Florian - 2018
The recent negative interest rate policy (NIRP) and quantitative easing (QE) programme by the ECB have raised concerns about the pass-through of monetary policy. On the one hand, negative rates could lead to declining bank profitability making an expansionary monetary policy contractionary....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933740
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How do banks and households manage interest rate risk? : evidence from the Swiss mortgage market
Basten, Christoph; Guin, Benjamin; Koch, Cathérine - 2017
We exploit a unique data set that features both un-intermediated mortgage requests and independent offers from multiple banks for each request. We show that households typically are not prudent risk managers but prioritize the minimization of current mortgage payments over the risk of possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721608
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Evaluation of long-dated investments under uncertain growth trend, volatility and catastrophes
Gollier, Christian - 2012
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689360
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Asset pricing with uncertain betas : a long-term perspective
Gollier, Christian - 2013
How should one evaluate investment projects whose CCAPM betas are uncertain? This question is particularly crucial for projects yielding long-lasting impacts on the economy, as is the case for example for many green investments. We define the notion of a certainty equivalent beta. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009691703
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Bank networks : contagion, systemic risk and prudential policy
Aldasoro, Iñaki; Delli Gatti, Domenico; Faia, Ester - 2015
We present a network model of the interbank market in which optimizing risk averse banks lend to each other and invest in non-liquid assets. Market clearing takes place through a tâtonnement process which yields the equilibrium price, while traded quantities are determined by means of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475334
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Differences in euro-area household finances and their relevance for monetary-policy transmission
Hintermaier, Thomas; Koeniger, Winfried - 2018
This paper quantifies the extent of heterogeneity in consumption responses to changes in real interest rates and house prices in the four largest economies in the euro area: France, Germany, Italy, and Spain. We first calibrate a life-cycle incomplete-markets model with a liquid financial asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863469
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Oil prices, exchange rates and interest rates
Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2019
There has been much interest in the relationship between the price of crude oil, the value of the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. interest rate since the 1980s. For example, the sustained surge in the real price of oil in the 2000s is often attributed to the declining real value of the U.S. dollar as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966739
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Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns
Weber, Michael - 2016
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month … lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level … for short-sale constraints, and find the negative cross-sectional relationship between cash flow duration and returns is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521939
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Common trends and common cycles among interest rates of the G7-countries
Lindenberg, Nannette; Westermann, Frank - 2009
In this paper we re-investigate the comovements of interest rates in the G7-countries. We propose a structured modus operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration, serial correlation common feature and codependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807777
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The VARying effect of foreign shocks in Central and Eastern Europe
Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca; Morales Zumaquero, Amalia; … - 2010
This paper investigates the impact of international shocks - interest rate, commodity price and industrial production shocks - on key macroeconomic variables in ten Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries by using near-VAR models and monthly data from the early 1990s to 2009. In contrast to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974654