Showing 1 - 10 of 321
We provide benchmarks to evaluate what is an optimal foreign debt and a maximal foreign debt (debt-max), when risk is … the question of how one should measure vulnerability to shocks, when there is uncertainty concerning the productivity of … capital. We consider two sets of high- risk countries during the period 1978-99: a subset of 21 countries that defaulted on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398652
-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude … is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed …, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
uncertainty on firms' decisions and market outcomes. We construct alternative measures of uncertainty based on survey of … index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate that greater uncertainty has a negative impact on growth of employment and the … generally non-existent or weaker. Our results suggest that to truly understand the effects of uncertainty on firms' decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764986
their own risk preferences. The observed allocations are consistent with four different views of justice under uncertainty. … some recipients are exposed to uncertainty. Although, under certainty almost all uninvolved participants distribute … resources equally, they exhibit remarkable heterogeneity in just allocations under uncertainty. Moreover, uninvolved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766681
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series and find considerable evidence of time-varying policy risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
This paper considers investments in cost-reducing technology in the context of contributions to climate protection. Contributions to mitigating climate change are analyzed in a two-period model where later contributions can be based on better information, but delaying the contribution to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223047
prices versus tradable quantities in terms of expected welfare, given uncertainty, optimal policy and endogenous cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238324
scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on climate. Criticisms of this controversial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199723
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786017
quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338658