Showing 1 - 10 of 409
policy will temporarily aid debt sustainability through a temporary burst in inflation. The anticipation of a possible reform … links debt levels with inflation expectations. As a result, interest rates have two effects: they influence demand and … affect expected inflation in opposite directions. The expectations effect is linked to the impact of interest rates on public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015125460
This paper examines the impact of current account balances on energy, headline, and core inflation across developed and … find that an improvement in the current account consistently leads to lower inflation, with heterogeneous effects across … inflation components, even when controlling for monetary policy. Our analysis also explores regional differences and contrasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015134043
compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of … the crisis, predicting a decade of stagnation for the south and inflation for the north. Keynesian demand policy is … steered to uses they are keen to avoid. -- competitiveness ; inflation ; realignment ; Keynesian policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009691625
The paper addresses the question what effects the enlargement of a monetary union will have on necessary structural reforms in the (low distortion) member countries and the (high distortion) candidate countries. While monetary union lowers reforms in the candidate countries, members of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509539
Using a firm-bank panel of more than 1m German firms over 2010-2016, we document that local public bank lending to municipalities crowds out private investment. Our results show how crowding out can happen in a developed economy characterized by low interest rates and fiscal austerity. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796947
We scrutinize the role of capital flows for competitiveness in seven euro-area countries in the context of real convergence and crisis with a specific focus on Greece. The paper extends the seminal Balassa-Samuelson model to include international capital markets. Capital flows are assumed to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350203
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone crisis countries (Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Cyprus, Spain)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212
As shown in Sinn and Wollmershäuser (2012a), during the European balance-of-payments crisis, inter-governmental credit and Target credit granted by core-country central banks have replaced private international capital flows in financing the crisis countries' current account deficits, and even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689403
There is substantial consensus in the literature that positive uncertainty shocks predict a slowdown of economic activity. However, using U.S. data since 1950 we show that the macroeconomic response pattern to stock market volatility shocks has changed substantially over time. The negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380407
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors’ beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015178423