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probability before the election (Maskin and Tirole's "feedback" case). In the three-period case, with two elections, the dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286492
The existing literature has shown that special interest groups can have both growth enhancing and retarding effects on an economy. In either case it is always assumed that the nature of the special interest groups remains constant over time. The hypothesis of this paper is that a dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766682
both the 2007 and 2010 Federal elections, we are struck by the paucity of falsifiable predictions, with most pundits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748356
This paper empirically investigates the underlying determinants of expenditure decentralization, based on the predictions of a new political economy model of partial decentralization. The analysis is based on an agency model, in which two levels of government are involved in the provision of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354073
We test the predictions of a behavioral model of transactional electoral politics in the context of a randomized anti-vote-selling intervention in the Philippines. We model selling one's vote as a temptation good: it creates positive utility for the future self at the moment of voting, but not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361472
We study the returns to political office using data from Finnish parliamentary elections in 1970-2007 and municipal … elections in 1996-2008. The discontinuity of electoral outcomes in individual candidate votes allows us to estimate the causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223364
Migration contributes to the circulation of goods, knowledge, and ideas. Using community and individual-level data from Moldova, we show that the emigration episode that started in the late 1990s strongly affected political preferences and electoral outcomes in Moldova during the following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009792190
and looks. Moreover, we take the moderating effect of the electoral system into account. Using a sample of 196 elections …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370176
regression discontinuity design with millions of observations suggests that advertising's impact on elections is largely due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434475
We estimate the effect of electorally induced policy uncertainty on investment in the manufacturing sector. Because state governors exercise considerable influence over legislation and considerable discretion over regulation and permitting, and because the policies relevant to business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451061