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Voter confirmation bias and electoral accountability
Lockwood, Ben - 2015 - First version: 8 February 2015, This version: 7 June 2015
probability before the election (Maskin and Tirole's "feedback" case). In the three-period case, with two elections, the dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286492
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Attitudes towards globalization barriers and implications for voting : evidence from Sweden
Karakas, Leyla D.; Kim, Nam Seok; Mitra, Devashish - 2021
liberal-conservative spectrum are controlled for in the analysis of voting behavior, trade barrier preferences lose their … affect voting behavior through channels involving identity-driven factors that are different from the channels through which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602182
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Political advertising and election outcomes
Spenkuch, Jörg L.; Toniatti, David - 2016 - First Draft: February 2015, This Version: December 2015
no impact on aggregate turnout. The point estimates are precise enough to rule out even moderately sized effects. By … regression discontinuity design with millions of observations suggests that advertising's impact on elections is largely due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434475
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Exposition to corruption and political participation : evidence from Italian municipalities
Giommoni, Tommaso - 2017
press agency. Applying an event-study methodology on local elections, two results emerge. First, corruption exposition … reduces citizens participation: voter turnout decreases but characteristics of elected politicians are not affected; second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721582
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Measuring the competitiveness of elections
Cox, Gary W.; Fiva, Jon H.; Smith, Daniel M. - 2018
-share-per-seat measures. Whether elections under multimember proportional representation systems are judged more or less competitive than … single-member plurality or runoff elections depends directly on the units in which competitiveness is assessed (and hence on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011951989
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A note on detecting dividing lines in turnout : spatial dependence and heterogeneity in the 2012 US Presidential election
Fiorino, Nadia; Pontarollo, Nicola; Ricciuti, Roberto - 2020
US voters have been moving apart in the last twenty years. This paper analyzes how their voting participation has … partitioned by looking at US counties in the 2012 Presidential elections. To tackle this question, we propose a methodology that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012194197
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Was Obama elected by the internet? : broadband diffusion and voters' behavior in US presidential elections
Larcinese, Valentino; Miner, Luke - 2018
turnout, an increase in campaign contributions to the Democrats and an increase in the share of Democratic vote. We then … estimates confirm a positive impact of broadband diffusion on turnout, while the pro-Democratic Party effect of the internet …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794226
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Political participation and the welfare state
Borck, Rainald - 2018
A large literature has claimed that higher political participation increases welfare spending. In this paper, I review this literature. I study the theoretical link between participation and redistributive spending. Then, I survey the empirical literature on the link between education, income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867915
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Terrorism and voting : the rise of right-wing populism in Germany
Sabet, Navid; Liebald, Marius; Friebel, Guido - 2023
predominantly observable in state elections, though attacks that receive high media coverage increase the AfD vote share in Federal … elections. These patterns hold even though most attacks are motivated by right-wing causes and target migrants. Using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364725
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Biased forecasts and voting : the Brexit referendum case
Bizzotto, Jacopo; Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2024 - This version: July 1, 2024
This paper explores whether professional macroeconomic forecasters manipulate their forecasts to influence voting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014583811