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our problem allowing us to ask how old forms of money such as Gold and Silver hold up in today's world regarding their …. We analyse price dynamics from 1980 to 2020 for gold and silver resorting to annual data. Regarding bitcoin we employ …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170942
This paper investigates whether gold and silver can be considered safe havens by examining their long-run linkages with … 22 stock price indices. More specifically, the stochastic properties of the differential between gold/silver prices and … sample starting in January 2020, the evidence in favour of gold and silver as possible safe havens is pretty conclusive since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013445596
, but the relative contribution of the two types of market turns out to be highly unstable, especially for the most deferred …. -- cointegration ; oil market ; futures prices ; price discovery …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965099
market expectation of the price of the underlying asset. Although this expectation in principle may be recovered by adjusting … the futures price by the estimated risk premium, a common problem is that there are as many measures of the market … long-standing problem of how to estimate the market expectation of the price of crude oil. We provide a new measure of oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434566
In this paper we investigate the time-varying relationship between oil and natural gas in the UK. We develop a model where relative prices can move between pricing-regimes; markets switch between being decoupled and integrated. Our model endogenously accounts for periods where oil and natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212645
quantitative measure for market inefficiency. The methodology assesses the deviation of observed oil price behavior from the Random … Walk benchmark, representing an efficient market. The main findings of the analysis are as follows: firstly, the degree of … crude oil market inefficiency demonstrates temporal variations. Secondly, there are marked increases in the degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505288
measure for market inefficiency. The procedure measures the extent to which observed oil price behaviour deviates from the … Random Walk benchmark which represents an efficient market. The key findings are, first, that crude oil market inefficiency … interpretation of oil market inefficiency as oil market turbulence. This occurs when the quantity of information the market has to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490913
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641741
We test whether the relationship between the nominal exchange rate and the news in its underlying fundamentals has non-linear features. In order to do so, we develop a Markov switching model and apply it to a sample of low and high inflation countries. The empirical analysis shows that for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400785
In this paper we use the Hodrick-Prescott filter for analysing global temperature data. We are especially concerned with a reliable estimation of the trend component at the end of the data sample. To this end we employ time-varying values for the penalization parameter. The optimal values are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229859