Showing 1 - 10 of 607
The recent rise in populist governments has led to much work on the question "why now?". Our work takes the next logical step by asking "what next?". That is, given populists in power, what should we expect to be the economic consequences of populist regimes. To answer this, we characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118535
This paper investigates the macroeconomic projections of the German government since the 1970s and compares it those of the Joint Economic Forecast, which is an in-dependent forecasting institution in Germany. Our results indicate that nominal GDP projections are upward biased for longer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958832
Given the importance of firm strategic management in time of crises, this study investigates Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) survival strategies during the international sanctions against Iran. Using data from a questionnaire of 486 firms between December 2019 to September 2020, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815811
This paper analyzes the initial impact and recovery of globally engaged firms from the COVID-19 crisis. It uses rich … globally engaged firms is their heightened response to the crisis by finding novel ways to adapt supply chains even in the … issue instruments that reduce uncertainty risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183698
risk sharing in tranquil times but that it actually fails to provide international insurance in severe crisis periods …We explore the impact of mortgage securitization on the international diversification of macroeconomic risk. By making … risk sharing: we find that countries with the most highly developed markets for securitized mortgage debt have consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806732
Consumption risk sharing among U.S. federal states increases in booms and decreases in recessions. We find that small … aggregate risk sharing are more pronounced in states in which small firms account for a large share income or employment. In … to have loosened the dependence of aggregate risk sharing on the business cycle. Not only do our result support that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807913
-sectional firm dynamics ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks ; idiosyncratic shocks ; heterogeneous firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
-varying uncertainty, highlighted in the literature. -- Ss model ; RBC model ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898815
recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining …The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338658