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Staggered difference-in-differences in gravity settings : revisiting the effects of trade agreements

Nagengast, Arne J.; Yotov, Yoto - 2023

We nest an extended two-way fixed effect (ETWFE) estimator for staggered difference-in-differences within the structural gravity model. To test the ETWFE, we estimate the effects of regional trade agreements (RTAs). The results suggest that RTA estimates in the current gravity literature may be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431432

Trade in times of uncertainty

Matzner, Anna Hilda; Meyer, Birgit; Oberhofer, Harald - 2023

This paper analyses the direct and indirect trade volume and trade cost effects of uncertainty on international trade and economic welfare using a structural gravity framework for a panel of 97 developed and developing countries from 2000 to 2018. Our results suggest that an increase in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550200

Gravity at sixty : the workhorse model of trade

Yotov, Yoto - 2022

On the eve of its 60th anniversary, the gravity model of trade is a "celebrity", due to its intuitive appeal, solid theoretical foundations, and remarkable empirical success. Yet, many economists still view gravity simply as an intuitive but naive reduced-form estimating equation and apply it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818511

Putting Canada in the penalty box : trade and welfare effects of eliminating NAFTA

Baier, Scott L.; Bergstrand, Jeffrey H.; Bruno, John P. - 2019

threat President Trump has made if the proposed United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement is not passed by the U.S. Congress. We ….S. withdrawal only). Although all the member countries' standards of living fall, surprisingly the smallest economy, Mexico, is not … times that of Mexico's loss of 1.15 percent and is nearly eight times the United States' loss of 0.27 percent. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026353

On the widely differing effects of free trade agreements : lessons from twenty years of trade integration

Baier, Scott L.; Yotov, Yoto V.; Zylkin, Thomas - 2016

We develop a novel two-stage methodology that allows us to study the empirical determinants of the ex post effects of past free trade agreements (FTAs) as well as obtain ex ante predictions for the effects of future FTAs. We first identify 908 unique estimates of the effects of FTAs on different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011560677

FDI, trade integration and the border effect : evidence from the European Union

Martínez-San Román, Valeriano; Bengoa, Marta; … - 2014

This paper intends to combine two fields in the economic literature by examining empirically the FDI pattern - horizontal versus vertica l- within the European Union and the relevance of trade integration as a potential determinant of investment flows over the period 1995-2009. We capture trade...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371905

Consequences of FTA withdrawal : evidence from "Uxit"

Gnutzmann, Hinnerk; Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, Arevik; Korn, … - 2021

We use a unique case study to estimate the effect of withdrawing from a free trade agreement on international trade. Lately, the political opposition to international economic cooperation has been on the rise, but little is known about how the withdrawal from a trade agreement affects trade. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421152

On the heterogeneous trade and welfare effects of GATT/WTO membership

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Larch, Mario; Yalçin, Erdal; … - 2020

We build on the latest developments in the structural gravity literature to quantify the partial and general equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade and welfare. Using an extensive database covering manufacturing trade for 186 countries over the period 1980-2016, we find that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287974

Subnational income growth and international border effects

Adam, Hanna L.; Larch, Mario; Stadelmann, David - 2021

This paper analyses the effect of international borders and of trade agreements at international borders on subnational (i.e. regional) growth. We construct an extensive panel dataset covering 1,350 regions in 86 countries worldwide between 1950 and 2017. Our results show that international...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533891

Quantifying the extensive margin(s) of trade : the case of uneven European integration

Anderson, James E.; Yotov, Yoto - 2022

We propose a short-run theory of the extensive margins of trade, comprising the standard international extensive margin and a novel domestic extensive margin. The domestic extensive margin allows identification of globalization and specific policy effects not properly identified in previous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285497

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