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primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437870
. Information treatments about current and next year's interest rates have a strong effect on household expectations but treatments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171803
the no-change forecast. Our key finding is that substantial reductions in the mean-squared prediction error (MSPE) of … greater reductions in MSPEs are possible by constructing a pooled forecast that assigns equal weight to five of the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429580
We examine the quantitative predictions of heterogeneous firm models à la Melitz (2003) in the context of the Canada - US Free Trade Agreement (CUSFTA) of 1989. We compute predicted increases in trade flows and measured productivity across a range of standard models and compare them to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009773860
We use the Italian Survey of Household Income and Wealth, a rather unique dataset with a long time dimension of panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551036
We study the impact of a government spending shock on the distribution of income and wealth between cohorts in a dynamic stochastic Overlapping Generations model with two types of households, Ricardian households and rule-of-thumb consumers. We demonstrate that an unexpected increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458011
Empirically analyzing household behavior usually relies on informal data preprocessing. That is, before an econometric … German micro-data on household expenditure to estimate equivalence scales as a specific example. Our results show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458584
effectiveness of demand-based policies, and their impact across household groups, in a more electrified future. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168030
Idiosyncratic labor risk is a prevalent phenomenon with important implications for individual choices. In labor market research it is commonly assumed that agents have rational expectations and therefore correctly assess the risk they face in the labor market. We analyse survey data for the U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625879
We exploit the unexpected announcement of an immediate, temporary VAT cut in Germany in the second half of 2020 as a natural experiment to study the spending response to unconventional fiscal policy. We use survey and scanner data on households' consumption expenditures and their perceived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668478