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inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886884
We estimate a multi-country multi-sector New Keynesian model to quantify the drivers of domestic inflation during 2020 …–2023 in several countries, including the United States. The model matches observed inflation together with sector-level prices … and wages. We further measure the relative importance of different types of shocks on inflation across countries over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434281
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors’ beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015178423
on regional and country-level inflation and real activity. For this purpose a Global VAR (GVAR) model is estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015158099
The paper analyses the reasons for Japan's persistently low inflation since the bursting of the Japanese bubble economy … (low inflation conundrum). It is shown that Japan experienced a structural break from a high-growth period with relatively … high inflation to a low-growth period with exceptionally low inflation since the early 1990s. We show based on a stylized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013284915
is stronger for countries with higher average inflation or debt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189835
repression in domestic interest rates→to avoid an avalanche of foreign capital inflows that would threaten inflation and asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249643
volatility) can have adverse effects on real output, through excessively high and persistent levels of inflation. Lack of … have also become a drag on real output. In order to promote growth, policies should be devised to control inflation; to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707616
This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher's data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496089