Showing 1 - 10 of 317
programs in a pandemic recession. We calibrate the stationary equilibrium and the pandemic shock to the U.S. economy, taking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166369
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743745
We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment in Canada is shown to react to uncertainty shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
We model U.S. post-WWII monthly data with a Smooth Transition VAR model and study the effects of an unanticipated increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to be statistically and economically larger in recessions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864417
The recent rise in populist governments has led to much work on the question "why now?". Our work takes the next logical step by asking "what next?". That is, given populists in power, what should we expect to be the economic consequences of populist regimes. To answer this, we characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118535
of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks … deep and persistent enough, like during the Great Recession, they call for a downward revision of potential output measures … Recession, as well as the V-shaped recoveries that followed the oil shock recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939
The paper uses a small open economy general-equilibrium model to compare fiscal and nominal exchange rate devaluation with respect to their impact on economic activity and the current account. In particular, it investigates to which extent fiscal devaluation mimics nominal exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392516
We study the impact of graduating in a recession in Flanders (Belgium), i.e. in a rigid labor market. In the presence … of a high minimum wage, a typical recession hardly influences the hourly wage of low educated men, but reduces working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491732
Recession, the primary determinant of the U.S. economic contraction in early 2020 was a sharp drop in domestic demand. Although …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012550202
In this paper, we develop a novel dataset of weekly economic conditions indices for the 50 U.S. states going back to 1987 based on mixed-frequency dynamic factor models with weekly, monthly, and quarterly variables that cover multiple dimensions of state economies. We show that there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584223